TY - BOOK AU - European Investment Bank AU - Schmieder,Christian AU - Kollár,Miroslav TI - EIB Working Papers 2019/11 - Macro-based asset allocation: An empirical analysis T2 - EIB Working Papers SN - 9789286144899 PB - European Investment Bank KW - Business & Economics / Finance KW - bisacsh KW - Economics KW - Electronic books N1 - Access copy available to the general public N2 - Macro-based asset allocation is based on the identification of turning points in macro-financial cycles. This paper suggests that macro-based asset allocation informed by trends in continuous business and financial cycle indicators could be a promising alternative for medium- and long-term investment strategies. Despite changes during the last three decades, the most promising specifications of this approach did roughly anticipate turning points in asset price cycles, implying favourable returns and low portfolio volatility UR - https://openresearchlibrary.org/content/e143c48b-7df8-4732-b050-a12f2aef9f34 ER -